Live proof · checked every hour
We do the maths. Here it is.
Every hour our computer compares the comps on our 1 in 500 list with every UK prize comp we can read. Here's the result, with nothing hidden.
Right now
…x
better odds per ticket on a typical comp from our list*
Loading the latest check…
Over time
Last 7 days
…
Last 28 days
…
Since we started
…
Worked out from the comps themselves, not by averaging the daily figures: every comp in the period is counted once, at its last check, and we take the middle one from each side. Comp-by-comp records started on 12 Nov 2026.
The sum right now
Our 1 in 500 list
1 in …
… comps closing in the next 24 hours
Every UK comp we read
1 in …
… comps closing in the next 24 hours
Today, hour by hour
Day by day
| Day | Comps checked | Projected | Worst case | Headline | Best hour | Lowest hour | Checks |
|---|
Launch check, 31 Oct 2026 (smaller sample, about 1,200 comps): 1 in 106 v 1 in 223, so 2.1x. Hourly checks started on 11 Nov 2026.
How we work it out
- Same time, same rules. Each check looks at comps closing in the next 24 hours: the ones on our list, and every UK comp we read from the sites we check. No sites are named and none are left out on purpose.
- We take the middle comp. We line each group up from best odds to worst and take the one in the middle (the median), so a few extreme comps can't skew it.
- Two ways of counting. "Projected" is our estimate of how many tickets will have sold at the close. "Worst case" is the odds if every ticket sells, which you can check on the comp's own page. We headline whichever is lower.
- Days, weeks and months are worked out from the comps themselves: every comp is counted once, at its last check, and we take the middle comp from each side. (11 Nov, the first day, used the middle of its hourly checks.)
- Nothing is hidden. Each day shows its lowest hourly result, and any hourly check that was missed or failed.
- Per ticket. Better odds means each ticket you buy has a better chance. It does not mean you will win.
*Median odds per ticket, our 1 in 500 list v every UK comp we read, closing within 24 hours. Prizes differ. Odds are our estimates and change as tickets sell. No win guaranteed. 18+